At this point, on slower machines it can take a bit to load.
Around 2200 is when you start to see a decent amount of changes, especially in ‘lower’ leagues.
England
Hull have won the Prem. Man City have been relegated. The early 2200’s were all Norwich, as they won 24 times in 27 years Lots of new teams in the Championship. Leicester and Wolves in League One Palace and Everton in League Two Stoke is in the Vanarama North. In 2173 Sheffield United had 4 points, and lost 34 games.
Bundesliga Bayern is back on top, but teams like Leverkeusen, Dynamo Dresden and others have won as well. Dresden had a decent run about 30 years ago, and has won the CL as well. In 2176 Hannover had 1 point. They scored 12 goals, and had a -73 Goal differential.
Serie A Lots of familiar names still, but FerapiSallo? Mestre? Gubbio? Sassuolo and Atalanta are in Serie B Brescia, Sampdoria, Salernitana in Serie C
France PSG still dominates, though Bastia(!), Montpelier and others have managed to sneak a League Championship every once and awhile. Guingamp had 4 points in 2093, and didn’t win a game.
Spain Barca and Madrid still fight it out, although there are quite a few new teams in the League. El Ejido has won a few times, as have Tenerife and Betis. Villareal and Deprtivo in LaLiga 2, Getafe relegated to the 3rd Division Bilbao in the 3rd Division… In 2250, Barcelona had 101 points, and came in Second, because Madrid went Invincible and didn’t lose a game, only drawing 1 (Thanks Zaragoza…) In 2205, Madrid and Tenerife each had 99 goals for, 24 goals against, but Tenerife lost to Sociadad and finished 3 points behind
Portugal Benfica is back, although Santa Clara is still winning, as is Lusitania Lourosa, and Sporting
Champions League Lugano is the only Non Big 6 team to win it recently. Juve did just beat Fenerbahce and Dynao Dresden did beat HJK Norkoping won it in 2231 Brondby in 2219 Bredablik in 2214 From Sept of 2038 to January of 2056 Basel played 43 Champions LEague matches and did not win…
Europa League is where you see a lot of ‘Mid-Level’ Clubs win Breiðablik in 2267 Bravo, Honka, BATE, Goteborg, AEK, Vikingur, Celje
Conference League also has some good mid level winners Craiova, Lokomotiv Plovdiv, Slavan Belupo, Gnistan, Sepsi, Honved, Hapoel Be’er Sheva. Alot of variety in the winners here.
World Cup Germany just beat Venezuela Poland beat Austria in 2246 Chile beat Morocco in 2238 South Korea beat Germany in 2218 Slovakia beat the Netherlands in 2150 Mexico beat Croatia in 2134
This is the point where taking a deeper dive into the save becomes fun, at least for me, as I can compare what happens to some of the other Long Term saves going.
At the moment, every 5 years in the save increases the file size by about 25MB per save. My past experience has been that the save file can go up to about 4.4Gb and then it starts crashing. So if people are interest in a 350 year, 500 year or longer save, I can certainly keep the laptop going, let me know here or on my twitter @FM_Jellico what you would like to see.
It is now the 24th of June, 2123, we are 100 years into the future.
Database size has shrunk slightly, to 63K players, the playable Leagues have remained the same. save size, 772MB.
So, what has changed? For the Countries I have loaded not named Spain, not too much.
England:
Tottenham has won the League. Blackburn finished 7th, but missed out on European Football Luton Town avoids the drop.
Craziest finish so far: 2101/02, When West Ham, Bristol City, and Brentford finished 1,2,3 on the same points, 72, separated by goal differential. Tottenham had 103 points in 2019/92.
The Prem has been a Arsenal v Tottenham the last decade.
In the Championship, Oldham misses out on promotion due to goal difference. Eastleigh is back mid table. Palace languishes in mid table.
League One Villa has fallen to mid table. Wrexham has fallen to midtable as well.
League Two Huddersfield finished 5th but lost in the playoff Ipswich is relegated
France:
Ligue 1 Monaco won by 16, beating ASSE. They have 8 teams in European Football. PSG last won the League in 2104, since then it has been Monaco, Nice and St. Etienne.
Craziest Finish so far: 2102/2103 PSG finished 1sr on 76 points, Bordeaux on 74, ASSE And Monacao on 74, OGC Nice on 73.
Germany:
Bundesliga Gladbach won the League Bayern has won the League 4 times since 1090, since then it has been RB Leipzig for the most part. St. Pauli regularly finishes top 5. Dynamo Dresden and Hansa Rostock are top flight.
Craziest finish thus far: When the firstplace team isn’t beating everyone by 20 points, probably 2087, when Leipzig finished 1st ahead of Bayern, despite drawing 10 games and only losing 1, on a +3 goal differential. Bayern won the CL that year though, so they are probably OK.
Hannover and Schalke have fallen down to 3. Liga
Italy:
Serie A Genoa won the League this year. Bari finished 4th, Lazio 12th.
Serie A has been won by Juve more often than not, and not a lot of other teams have won it multiple times in a row until recently, with Milan at 4.
Craziest finish thus far: 2076. Juve won 32, Drew 4, and lost 2 to finish with 100 points, and came in second to Fiorentina, who went 33/4/1 to finish with 103 points. Fiorentina’s bestest friend? Benvento, who finished 4th and beat Juve 2-0.
In Serie B, Atalanta finished 5th because Salernitana beat them head to head. Sampdoria and Torino are relegated to Serie C.
Parma, Bologna, Sassualo are in Serie C.
Spain:
La Liga Athletico, Real Madrid and Barca have won most of the titles, although every once and awhile a Betis, Zaragoza or Villareal wins.
Probably the League with the most changes
Bilbao is in the Primera RFEF. Getafe and Valladolid were just promoted out of Grupo II. Eiber was mid table.
Girona is in the 4th Tier Segunda Division RFEF. Vallacano was just promoted out of Segunda Division Group 5
Craziest finish so far: Athletico went invinceable in 2104, finishing on 108 points
Portugal:
Benfica win the League. Porto is midtable. Until 2109, Santa Clara won the League 9 out of 10 times, then Benfica has won 11 of the past 12.
Craziest finish so far: Probably 2071/72, when everyone beat up on everyone and Santa Clara won the League with 69 points, the lowest points total ever if my search-fu is correct.
Europe:
Champions League Until Bayern won back to back games in 2115/2116, the last team to win back to back (or more) was Arsenal 15 years earlier. No team outside the Big 6 has won the Champions League since the start of the save.
Europa League No team has won back to back, though several have won it numerous times, with Tottenham winning 11. Greek clubs PAOK Saloniki, AEK Athens, Panathanaikos have lost in the finals. The only other club outside the Big 6 to play in a Final was Ajax.
Europa Conference Austrian and Portugeuse teams have won this comp several times, but the last 5 years have seen Real Madrid, Bodo/Glimt, Aris Saloniki, Olympiacos and Slavia Pragee win.
World Cup:
England last won in 2078. Netherlands went back to back in 90 and 94. Serbia won in 2102. The Outlier so far, Uruguay, who won it in 2058. Team you didn’t expect to finish so high: Czech Republic, 3rd place in 2110
World Golden Ball: Suchat Khamkaew from Thailand(!) won it in 2110-2111.
This is from the 2109-2110 Sseason:
The next year he won it, he had 58(1) appearances across all competitions, 11 goals, 24 assists, and 16 POM’s with an 8.05(!) rating.
Experiments are quite popular in FM, but in my opinion, to many of them are the same. What if we gave a Lower League Club a Billions Pounds, what if we put the worlds best youth player in the 8th Division of the English Football League, that sort of thing. I’ve even done a couple of those, but one of the thing’s I am interested in doing are Experiments with a little more behind them.
This experiment was directly influenced by a video Dr.Benjy did, in which he moved Erling Haaland to Bath and locked him into a 15 Year contract there. You can find the first video in that series here:
Imitation is the sincerest form of flattery
I wanted to go a step further though, and make this a multiplayer experiment.
I put 8 younger players, who at one point in time were (or in the case of the youngest are) considered wonderkids, and moved them to teams in the Vanarama North and South. The goal was to see if any player could help get their squad to the Premier League before they retired or their contract ran out (more on that here in a few). It took some trial and error to get the experiment up and running, but eventually I had success in running the edited database.
Was the Experiment a success?
Yes. And No.
The Experiment ran a total of four videos, what follows is a breakdown of some of the issues I discussed in the video, and some of the issues I encountered as well. You can find the video series here:
First, the players and Teams I moved them too:
Kylian Mbappe, to Blyth Spartans in the Vanarama North
Erling Haaland, to Hemel Hempstead Town in the Vanarama South
Ansu Fati, to Dulwich Hamlet in the Vanarama South
Sebstiano Esposito, to Ebbsfleet United in the Vanarama South
João Félix, to Eastbourne Borough in the Vanarama South
Yusuf Demir, to Fylde in the Vanarama North
Rayan Cherki, to Chorley in the Vanarama North
Jadon Sancho, to Curzon Ashton in the Vanarama North
In the editor, I made sure none of the player CA/PA was on the low side, but I also made sure they weren’t maxed out either. I locked them into 18 year contracts, with future transfers to the MLS (where all older European players got to dominate). I loaded just the English Leagues this time around, with about a 28K size player database.
My logic in putting those players on those teams was simple: The better players I put on teams picked by the pundits to finish in the bottom half of their respective table. Both Blyth and Hemel Hempstead were relegation candidates. The younger players I put on teams that had recently been relegated, or had missed out on promotion the previous year. My train of thought was a player like Ansu Fati would not have to share the load right away, while Mbappe could (and would) put the team on his shoulders and carry them as far as he could.
I found the Experiment interesting for a variety of reasons. First, if you did not get promoted quickly, there was a possibility you could get stuck in a League for quite a while. Secondly, if the team did get promoted, would the AI be able to surround the Youngster with players able to help them stay up and get promoted. Thirdly, at some point in time the Youngster would start to decline, was the team he was on set up to avoid relegation?
My goal was to see if one or more players could get their team to the Premier League. I didn’t expect any of them too, honestly I don’t believe the AI is good enough to get as team promoted in 6 divisions in 18 year on a consistent basis, heck even us human players are hard pressed to do that sometimes.
My expectations were met. None of the teams managed to get to the Premier League, but a couple of them came close.
Click to embiggen
As one would expect, Kylian Mbappe had the best progression out of all the plyers, in fact I would consider his and Blyth’s movement up the Pyramid to be be the template going forward: Immediate promotion in the first year, 3 promotions in 9 years, and then when the player is at or just beyond their peak, competing in the Championship for a shot at the Premier League. Blyth’s best finish was 13th, but digging deeper I realized that was almost pure luck.
There were more than a few reason’s player’s like Cherki, Felix and Sancho never got out of non-league, and most of those were my fault. First, I did not check the teams professional status before assigning the players to them, and as a result, Cherki, Felix, Sancho, Mbappe and Haaland ended up on Semi-Professional squads. Compounding this issue were the player salaries, they were all locked into €1000 p/w contracts, with a yearly 5 or 10% raise. If this experiment had consisted of just one player, that would not be as big an issue, but with eight, you ran into a situation where a semi professional teram had to get promoted, and quickly, in order to get Professional status. This would let their payroll expand, and they would have the opportunity to sign better players, but I suspect (because I can’t prove it) that by the time some of the players, Felix Sancho and Cherki, were making more money than anyone else on the squad still, and as a result their teams did not have the wage bill to bring in players to help them. The best example of this is Jadon Sancho, in the last year of the save Curzon Ashton was relegated to the EvoStik, and he was making €4700 p/w…
Mbappe and Haaland are both good enough that they were able to get promoted, and quickly, but then that’s where the other behind the scenes issue arose, and that’s the AI’s inability to work a good transfer market and improve the squad. The best example of this is Mbappe of course. From 2029 to 2035 Blyth were in the Championship. This is their Transfer Spending in that timeframe:
Year
In
Out
2029/30
€1M (and 3 players on loan at €315K)
€46K
2030/31
€2.3M
€875K
2031/32
€2.6M
€475K
2032/33
€6.25M
€72K
2033/34
€625K
€2.2M
2034/35
€2.8M
€475K
Blyth Transfer Spending while in the EFL Championship
By Comparison, Reading was also in the Championship at the same time, and both teams finished within shouting distance of each other more often than not, and their Transfer spends were 18.75M/28M, 7.25M/26M, 20.5M/33M, 15M/5.5M, 14.5M/35M in the same time frame.
The clubs that did get promoted did improve their facilities, as an example Blyth ended up with Great Yout and Training facilities, but I also wonder if the quality of coaching, especially for those players who did not get promoted right away, also played a factor in their development.
This is Rayan Cherki’s Progression thru the midpoint of the save:
Rayan Cherki 2020
Rayan Chekri 2023
Rayan Cherki 2029
He did pick up some more traits, and became comfortable at a few more positions, and in fact actually came down a point in a couple of attributes. A lack of full time training perhaps?
That said, even if their attributes didn’t improve, they were more than good enough to be their clubs primary scoring threat for much of the save. What follows are a few tables to illustrate that:
Players Goals by Year and Division
Players Assists by Year and Division
Another View of Player Goals and League
There’s still a lot more to do in terms of player charting and the like, but for the moment, here are my takeaways from this experiment:
It was pretty fun to run. The data from this comes from my third attempt at running it, the first was marred by a series of PBKAC errors on my end, the second by some behind the scenes stuff I didn’t realize could happen, IE Hard Brexit, and as a result Esposito and Cherki didn’t qualify for a work permit due to lack of International Experience, and spent the last twelve years locked into a team they could not play for nor get released from. Mbappe getting a team close I sort of expected, but I was also hoping a younger player like Esposito would do well in that regard. And I learned a lot from it, especially what to do if I want to run this experiment again later, which I might. If I do, I probably won’t have Mbappe or Holland on it, but younger players like Boadu, Zirkzee and others. I would start them at a lower salary, and if I could, ensure they all start on Professional squads.
If you’ve made it this far, Thanks! Any questions or comments, please leave them below and I will answer them as best I can. If you have an idea for an experiment, let me know as well, am always interested in seeing what other creators come up with that’s different than the usual out there.